Life expectancy losses in the Gaza Strip during October, 2023 to September, 2024

Peer-reviewed study published in The Lancet by Michel Guillot, Mohammed Draidi, et al. analyzing life expectancy losses in the Gaza Strip during the first year of the War on Gaza, from October 2023 to September 2024. The study found life expectancy in Gaza fell from 75.5 to 40.5 years during the first 12 months of the war—a 46.35% decline (51.6% for men, 38.6% for women). The estimates cover reported direct war deaths only—the authors note that the scenarios exclude indirect deaths from disease, malnutrition, and the collapse of healthcare, meaning the true loss is likely even larger. This is recommended for epidemiologists, demographers, and public health researchers. The life expectancy analysis provides a powerful population-level measure of the War on Gaza's mortality impact that complements direct casualty counts and excess mortality estimates.